Thursday, December 20, 2007

Week 16 NFL Picks

Pittsburgh at St. Louis
Line: Steelers by 8

Was it just me or could Greg Jennings have called a fair catch on that TD pass from Favre? I mean, no one was within 30 feet of him. I haven't even heard my boy D's reaction. He laughs hysterically every time he sees soft defense, so I know he got something to say about that. Steelers 28, Rams 13

Dallas at Carolina
Line: Cowboys by 10.5

I'm sorry, but after TO made those Jessica Simpson comments and ESPN went on its latest anti-TO spazz, I just can't take anything they say seriously. Not that I ever did. I mean, did an entire network miss the real story? Romo sucked because he busted up his throwing thumb, not because Jessica was there. Cowboys 17, Panthers 10

Cleveland at Cincinnati
Line: Browns by 3

Despite his best efforts, Jamal Lewis could not save my Fantasy team from a 1st round humiliation in large part due to Romo's garbage game. Nonetheless, he should run all over the Bengals the same way he used to in B-More as the Browns continue to make the Steelers sweat out their division title. Browns 31, Bengals 21

Green Bay at Chicago
Line: Packers by 8.5

The last time these teams met in Chicago, Rex Grossman posted a 0.0 QB rating. Any chance Kyle Orton posts a negative QB rating? Is that even possible? Sid Luckman is rolling in his grave. Packers 31, Bears 10

Houston at Indianapolis
Line: Colts by 7

I'm sorry, but Mario Williams got ROBBED! Thank God Jay Taylor will probably skip out on the Pro Bowl to get some Honolulu poon, giving Super Mario another opportunity to represent. On a sider, I sincerely apologize. The Texans' front office knew what they were doing the whole time when they took him over Reggie and Vince. Colts 21, Texans 16

Kansas City at Detroit
Line: Lions by 4.5

The Lions have mailed it in the past six weeks, but I think they have enough to win against KC, who's going to be lousy next year because this isn't that great a draft and they have about a zillion positions to upgrade. Lions 24, Chiefs 14

Miami at New England
Line: Patriots by 22

Yes, I know what you're thinking. And no, it isn't happening. It was nice for the Fins to get their first win of the season, but after this week, the 72 Dolphins will be crying into their beers as the Pats move one week closer to 16-0. Patriots 24, Dolphins 7

New York Giants at Buffalo
Line: Giants by 2.5
Eli is going into the tank and Buffalo is another of those good non-playoff AFC teams. With Lynch healthy again, Buffalo will have enough offense to get by the flagging Giants, who are primed for another late season fade. On a sider, how dumb is Coughlin calling 52 passing plays in 25 mph wind? Bills 16, Giants 13

Oakland at Jacksonville
Line: Jaguars by 13

I was admittedly waffling deciding between the Jags and Steelers (thank you Jack & Coke, you bring out the truth). The fact is, this is the team in the AFC (other than New England) that NO ONE wants to face in the playoffs. Jaguars 27, Raiders 10

Philadelphia at New Orleans
Line: Saints by 3

They don't have much of a shot, but the Saints can win out and afterwards, they'll let the dominoes fall where they may. It's good to see the running game working again, but the guy gaining 100 yards is not the #2 pick in the draft, it's Aaron Stecker. Saints 21, Eagles 13

Washington at Minnesota
Line: Vikings by 6.5

Washington's been winning on pure guts in the last two, but it stops here. They can't pass enough to take advantage of the Vikes' secondary and face the NFL's #1 run D. The only thing keeping me from taking 6.5 is the simple fact Tavaris Jackson is capable of keeping both teams in the game. Vikings 17, Redskins 13

Atlanta at Arizona
Line: Cardinals by 10

In the wake of Petrino abandoning the team, Chris Redman misrepresents Louisville with a stellar 34 yard passing performance. On a sider, 23 months seems a bit extreme, but in two years, Mike Vick's comeback will garner as much hype as Tyson's when he got out of prison. Cardinals 24, Falcons 17

Baltimore at Seattle
Line: Seahawks by 10

Billick got an extension yet he still can't get a QB who has a concept of the forward pass. It is nice to see Troy Smith playing well though, but I don't think it should be enough to earn him an extension. Seahawks 17, Ravens 13

New York Jets at Tennessee
Line: Titans by 9

Vince deserves a lot of credit. Seriously. With this kind of margainal talent, how he's gotten them to a winning record is a story in itself. Maybe in this draft, the Titans will actully surround him with actual talent. Titans 27, Jets 17

Tampa Bay at San Francisco
Line: Buccaneers by 6

The Bucs finally returned a kickoff for a TD for the first time in franchise history. On that note, picture these teams 20 years ago and at no point are you thinking that Tampa will be favored by 6 on the road against the Niners and most people think they should be favored by more. Buccaneers 30, 49ers 10

Denver at San Diego
Line: Chargers by 8.5

The Chargers are another of those dangerous teams no one wants to play in the postseason. The talent they have has finally managed to overcome Norv's terrible coaching and their newfound running game should run circles around the Broncos. Chargers 31, Broncos 17

Week 15 vs spread 9-7
Week 15 straight up 11-5
Season vs spread 111-108-9
Season straight up 139-69

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