Friday, January 11, 2008

NFL Divisional Playoff Predictions

Seattle at Green Bay
Line: Packers by 8

News flash: Seattle is good. They have a defense that can rush the passer and throw guys out of rhythm. They have the coach too who knows all of Green Bay's (and Brett Favre's) tendencies, having coached him and having developed his backup into one of the best starting QB's in the NFL. If the last playoff meeting was any indicator, this should also be a thrilling game, but in the end I think Green Bay will outlast Seattle with a more balaced offensive attack. Packers 30, Seahawks 27

Jacksonville at New England
Line: Patriots by 13.5

The trendy upset pick is here. The Patriots have completed the regular season undefeated, coaxing some of the most bizarre behavior from Mercury Morris, whose crack-induced rap verse about going undefeated almost had me in tears. Back to the game though, Jacksonville does the two things that you need to do to beat the Patriots, they run the football and rush the passer equally well. If they fall behind, however, I don't think they can play catchup against an offense as potent as New England's, and I'm guessing Brady will find enough mismatches in the secondary to get some important early scores. Patriots 34, Jaguars 24

San Diego at Indianapolis
Line: Colts by 9

The matchup of the weekend, as these are the two most talented teams in the AFC outside of New England. The problem is the Chargers seem to have a habit of falling behind against all the good teams. One thing we know about Indy's offense, too, is that once they get off to a good start, you're pretty much buried for the rest of the game. Unless San Diego gets off to a hot start and Phillip Rivers plays a mistake-free game, they'll have a difficult time playing catch-up with a team as talented as the Colts, especially without Antonio Gates. Colts 31, Chargers 24

New York Giants at Dallas
Line: Cowboys by 7.5

While the Giants are 0-2 against the Cowboys this season, both losses were relatively close, with the Cowboys' offense performing at a very high level. This game should even out a bit more, with the Cowboys' offense looking fairly mortal as of late and the Giants coming on down the stretch with an eye-popping 8-1 road record.
I think this game will be close, but Dallas's offensive line will do enough to protect Romo, who in turn will use his favorite target, Jason Witten, to do in the GMen. Cowboys 27, Giants 24

Wild Card Games vs Spread 2-2
Wild Card Games Straight up 3-1
Season vs Spread 132-123-9
Season Straight up 166-78


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